WKK Wroclaw vs Inowroclaw basketball prediction

1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
vs
Inowroclaw
Projected score
83-80
Home59%
Away41%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for WKK Wroclaw vs Inowroclaw?

Basketball: WKK Wroclaw vs Inowroclaw (1 Liga). Projected 83-80. WKK Wroclaw is favoured at 59%. Our projected total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: WKK Wroclaw by 3Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginWKK WroclawInowroclaw
Wins59%41%
By 6+44%27%
By 11+30%16%
By 16+19%9%
By 21+10%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

WKK Wroclaw

Rest
160 d
  1. L79-90Pelplin
  2. W79-68Inowroclaw
  3. L68-77Polonia Warszawa
  4. L80-89Spojnia Stargard
  5. W81-69Leszno

Inowroclaw

Rest
156 d
  1. L67-81Spojnia Stargard
  2. L68-79WKK Wroclaw
  3. W79-70Pelplin
  4. W95-71Kotwica Kołobrzeg
  5. W79-67Polonia Warszawa

Head to head

  1. Apr 8, 26WKK Wroclaw79Inowroclaw68
  2. Dec 14, 25Inowroclaw76WKK Wroclaw81
  3. Jan 24, 25WKK Wroclaw79Inowroclaw81
  4. Oct 18, 24Inowroclaw85WKK Wroclaw83

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology