Opava 2 vs Zlin basketball prediction

1. Liga
Projected score
81-80
Home47%
Away53%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Opava 2 vs Zlin?

Basketball: Opava 2 vs Zlin (1. Liga). Projected 81-80. Opava 2 is favoured at 47%. Our projected total is 161 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Opava 2 by 1Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOpava 2Zlin
Wins47%53%
By 6+36%40%
By 11+26%29%
By 16+17%19%
By 21+11%12%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Opava 2

Rest
181 d
  1. W111-73Polabi
  2. L55-74Lynx Liberec
  3. L73-110Radotin
  4. L52-79Polabi
  5. L71-83Lynx Liberec

Zlin

Rest
142 d
  1. L62-94Hradec Kralove
  2. L56-81Hradec Kralove
  3. W86-71BK Svitavy
  4. L67-82BK Svitavy
  5. W90-67BK Svitavy

Head to head

  1. Jan 20, 26Zlin111Opava 266
  2. Sep 19, 25Opava 272Zlin79
  3. Nov 22, 24Opava 261Zlin75
  4. Sep 20, 24Zlin103Opava 268
  5. Dec 15, 23Zlin88Opava 290

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology