Chicago Sky Women vs Washington Mystics Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Chicago Sky Women
vs
Washington Mystics Women
Projected score
84-85
Home46%
Away54%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Chicago Sky Women vs Washington Mystics Women?

Basketball: Chicago Sky Women vs Washington Mystics Women (NBA Women). Projected 84-85. Washington Mystics Women is favoured at 54%. Our projected total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Washington Mystics Women by 1Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginChicago Sky WomenWashington Mystics Women
Wins46%54%
By 6+31%38%
By 11+20%24%
By 16+11%13%
By 21+5%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Chicago Sky Women

Season record
15-27
Points per game
87.3
Points allowed
89.7
Rest
19 d
  1. L66-85New York Liberty Women
  2. L81-87Connecticut Sun Women
  3. W113-90Indiana Fever Women
  4. W73-70Golden State Valkyries Women
  5. L86-93New York Liberty Women

Washington Mystics Women

Season record
26-16
Points per game
82.6
Points allowed
82.5
Rest
19 d
  1. W88-82Los Angeles Sparks Women
  2. W80-73Phoenix Mercury Women
  3. W94-84Phoenix Mercury Women
  4. W105-100Portland Women
  5. L84-94Minnesota Lynx Women

Head to head

  1. Jun 2, 26Washington Mystics Women90Chicago Sky Women72
  2. Aug 6, 25Chicago Sky Women78Washington Mystics Women64
  3. Jul 29, 25Washington Mystics Women103Chicago Sky Women86
  4. Jul 8, 25Washington Mystics Women81Chicago Sky Women79
  5. Jun 18, 25Chicago Sky Women72Washington Mystics Women79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology