Batangas City vs GenSan Warriors basketball prediction

MPBL
Batangas City
vs
GenSan Warriors
Projected score
80-81
Home43%
Away57%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Batangas City vs GenSan Warriors?

Basketball: Batangas City vs GenSan Warriors (MPBL). Projected 80-81. GenSan Warriors is favoured at 57%. Our projected total is 161 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: GenSan Warriors by 1Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBatangas CityGenSan Warriors
Wins43%57%
By 6+31%44%
By 11+21%31%
By 16+13%20%
By 21+8%13%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Batangas City

Season record
18-7
Points per game
83.7
Points allowed
73.6
Rest
7 d
  1. W70-54Quezon City
  2. L74-126Rizal Golden Coolers
  3. L63-65Bataan Risers
  4. L71-78San Juan Knights
  5. W88-80Imus Braderhood

GenSan Warriors

Season record
19-6
Points per game
92.1
Points allowed
80.5
Rest
4 d
  1. L89-108Sarangani Marlins
  2. W96-89Bataan Risers
  3. W84-67Quezon Huskers
  4. L82-88Meycauayan
  5. W85-82Batang Kankaloo

Head to head

  1. Aug 29, 25Batangas City65GenSan Warriors60

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology