ALBA Berlin vs Chemnitz 99 Niners basketball prediction

BBL
Projected score
87-80
Home77%
Away23%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for ALBA Berlin vs Chemnitz 99 Niners?

Basketball: ALBA Berlin vs Chemnitz 99 Niners (BBL). Projected 87-80. ALBA Berlin is favoured at 77%. Our projected total is 167 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: ALBA Berlin by 7Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginALBA BerlinChemnitz 99 Niners
Wins77%23%
By 6+62%14%
By 11+46%8%
By 16+31%4%
By 21+19%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

ALBA Berlin

Rest
89 d
  1. W84-81Bayern Munich
  2. W71-61Bayern Munich
  3. L83-91Bayern Munich
  4. W86-79Bayern Munich
  5. L94-102Bayern Munich

Chemnitz 99 Niners

Rest
6 d
  1. W77-70Giessen 46ers
  2. L90-104Basketball Braunschweig
  3. W86-82Fraport Skyliners
  4. W84-82ALBA Berlin
  5. L62-89Bamberg

Head to head

  1. May 3, 26ALBA Berlin82Chemnitz 99 Niners84
  2. Nov 23, 25Chemnitz 99 Niners85ALBA Berlin89
  3. Apr 27, 25Chemnitz 99 Niners81ALBA Berlin103
  4. Oct 20, 24ALBA Berlin78Chemnitz 99 Niners81
  5. Jun 6, 24ALBA Berlin97Chemnitz 99 Niners84

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology