Puente Alto CD vs Leones Quilpue basketball prediction

LNB
Puente Alto CD
vs
Leones Quilpue
Projected score
80-80
Home44%
Away56%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Puente Alto CD vs Leones Quilpue?

Basketball: Puente Alto CD vs Leones Quilpue (LNB). Projected 80-80. Leones Quilpue is favoured at 56%. Our projected total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: levelOur projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPuente Alto CDLeones Quilpue
Wins44%56%
By 6+31%39%
By 11+19%25%
By 16+11%14%
By 21+5%7%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Puente Alto CD

Season record
18-10
Points per game
84.1
Points allowed
79
Rest
32 d
  1. W80-67Universidad Catolica
  2. W85-72Colo Colo
  3. W104-79Espanol de Talca
  4. W84-73Espanol de Talca
  5. L75-88Leones Quilpue

Leones Quilpue

Season record
26-9
Points per game
82.2
Points allowed
77.4
Rest
30 d
  1. W79-76Universidad Catolica
  2. W96-69Espanol de Talca
  3. L76-97Universidad de Concepcion
  4. W87-74Universidad Catolica
  5. W61-60Colo Colo

Head to head

  1. Aug 2, 26Puente Alto CD75Leones Quilpue88
  2. Jul 12, 26Leones Quilpue73Puente Alto CD62
  3. May 26, 26Puente Alto CD68Leones Quilpue83
  4. May 23, 26Leones Quilpue89Puente Alto CD81
  5. May 22, 26Leones Quilpue64Puente Alto CD73

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology