Colo Colo vs Universidad Catolica basketball prediction

LNB
Colo Colo
vs
Universidad Catolica
Projected score
78-74
Home59%
Away41%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Colo Colo vs Universidad Catolica?

Basketball: Colo Colo vs Universidad Catolica (LNB). Projected 78-74. Colo Colo is favoured at 59%. Our projected total is 152 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Colo Colo by 4Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginColo ColoUniversidad Catolica
Wins59%41%
By 6+44%27%
By 11+30%16%
By 16+18%8%
By 21+10%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Colo Colo

Season record
8-20
Points per game
76.2
Points allowed
80.8
Rest
4 d
  1. W81-74Espanol de Talca
  2. L84-86Puerto Montt
  3. L67-74Puerto Montt
  4. L72-85Puente Alto CD
  5. L72-93Universidad de Concepcion

Universidad Catolica

Season record
7-20
Points per game
76.4
Points allowed
82.8
Rest
2 d
  1. W81-70Espanol de Talca
  2. L75-76CD Puerto Varas
  3. L62-83CD Puerto Varas
  4. L76-79Leones Quilpue
  5. L67-80Puente Alto CD

Head to head

  1. Jul 31, 26Colo Colo70Universidad Catolica81
  2. Jul 9, 26Universidad Catolica70Colo Colo69
  3. May 1, 26Colo Colo87Universidad Catolica64
  4. Apr 10, 26Universidad Catolica78Colo Colo70
  5. Nov 17, 25Universidad Catolica48Colo Colo70

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology