Universidad Catolica vs Espanol de Talca basketball prediction

LNBFull time
Universidad Catolica
81:70
Espanol de Talca
Projected score
86-76
Home77%
Away23%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Espanol de Talca?

Basketball: Universidad Catolica vs Espanol de Talca (LNB). Projected 86-76. Universidad Catolica is favoured at 77%. Our projected total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Universidad Catolica by 10Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginUniversidad CatolicaEspanol de Talca
Wins77%23%
By 6+63%13%
By 11+48%7%
By 16+33%3%
By 21+20%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Universidad Catolica

Season record
7-20
Points per game
76.4
Points allowed
82.8
Rest
0 dback-to-back
  1. W81-70Espanol de Talca
  2. L75-76CD Puerto Varas
  3. L62-83CD Puerto Varas
  4. L76-79Leones Quilpue
  5. L67-80Puente Alto CD

Espanol de Talca

Season record
2-24
Points per game
74.7
Points allowed
89.9
Rest
0 dback-to-back
  1. L70-81Universidad Catolica
  2. L74-81Colo Colo
  3. L69-96Leones Quilpue
  4. L80-103Universidad de Concepcion
  5. L79-104Puente Alto CD

Head to head

  1. Sep 14, 26Universidad Catolica81Espanol de Talca70
  2. Aug 1, 26Universidad Catolica99Espanol de Talca80
  3. Jul 11, 26Espanol de Talca81Universidad Catolica93
  4. Apr 26, 26Espanol de Talca86Universidad Catolica72
  5. Apr 5, 26Universidad Catolica81Espanol de Talca74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeUniversidad Catolica 81, Espanol de Talca 70winner call correct

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology