Capiata Bulls vs Colonias Gold basketball prediction

LNB
Capiata Bulls
vs
Colonias Gold
Projected score
73-93
Home2%
Away98%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Capiata Bulls vs Colonias Gold?

Basketball: Capiata Bulls vs Colonias Gold (LNB). Projected 73-93. Colonias Gold is favoured at 98%. Our projected total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Colonias Gold by 20Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCapiata BullsColonias Gold
Wins2%98%
By 6+1%90%
By 11+1%81%
By 16+1%71%
By 21+0%60%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Capiata Bulls

Season record
0-6
Points per game
78.3
Points allowed
106.5
Rest
5 d
  1. L75-114Deportivo Amambay
  2. L87-98Deportivo Campoalto
  3. L89-126San Alfonzo
  4. L76-93Dep. San Jose
  5. L71-109Olimpia Kings Asuncion

Colonias Gold

Season record
15-12
Points per game
80.9
Points allowed
75.9
Rest
3 d
  1. L87-98Dep. San Jose
  2. L67-70Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  3. W91-62Felix Perez Cardozo
  4. W90-45San Alfonzo
  5. W80-72Deportivo Amambay

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology