Bulacan Kuyas vs GenSan Warriors basketball prediction

MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
vs
GenSan Warriors
Projected score
79-92
Home6%
Away94%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Bulacan Kuyas vs GenSan Warriors?

Basketball: Bulacan Kuyas vs GenSan Warriors (MPBL). Projected 79-92. GenSan Warriors is favoured at 94%. Our projected total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: GenSan Warriors by 13Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBulacan KuyasGenSan Warriors
Wins6%94%
By 6+4%81%
By 11+2%67%
By 16+1%52%
By 21+1%37%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Bulacan Kuyas

Season record
7-17
Points per game
81.7
Points allowed
87.3
Rest
18 d
  1. L80-91Meycauayan
  2. L84-110Abra Weavers
  3. W110-105Pasig City
  4. L79-97Mindoro Tamaraws
  5. L82-87Valenzuela City Darkhorse

GenSan Warriors

Season record
19-6
Points per game
92.1
Points allowed
80.5
Rest
1 dback-to-back
  1. L89-108Sarangani Marlins
  2. W96-89Bataan Risers
  3. W84-67Quezon Huskers
  4. L82-88Meycauayan
  5. W85-82Batang Kankaloo

Head to head

  1. Sep 18, 25Bulacan Kuyas62GenSan Warriors106

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology