Batangas City vs Batang Kankaloo basketball prediction

MPBL
Batangas City
vs
Batang Kankaloo
Projected score
77-81
Home28%
Away72%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Batangas City vs Batang Kankaloo?

Basketball: Batangas City vs Batang Kankaloo (MPBL). Projected 77-81. Batang Kankaloo is favoured at 72%. Our projected total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Batang Kankaloo by 4Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBatangas CityBatang Kankaloo
Wins28%72%
By 6+20%57%
By 11+13%42%
By 16+8%29%
By 21+4%18%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Batangas City

Season record
18-7
Points per game
83.7
Points allowed
73.6
Rest
4 d
  1. W70-54Quezon City
  2. L74-126Rizal Golden Coolers
  3. L63-65Bataan Risers
  4. L71-78San Juan Knights
  5. W88-80Imus Braderhood

Batang Kankaloo

Season record
20-4
Points per game
93.4
Points allowed
75
Rest
5 d
  1. L59-81Abra Weavers
  2. W96-87Pasig City
  3. L82-85GenSan Warriors
  4. W113-83Sarangani Marlins
  5. W103-71Basilan Steel

Head to head

  1. Jul 28, 25Batangas City68Batang Kankaloo72

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology