Espanol de Talca vs Colo Colo basketball prediction

LNB
Espanol de Talca
vs
Colo Colo
Projected score
79-82
Home33%
Away67%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Espanol de Talca vs Colo Colo?

Basketball: Espanol de Talca vs Colo Colo (LNB). Projected 79-82. Colo Colo is favoured at 67%. Our projected total is 161 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Colo Colo by 3Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginEspanol de TalcaColo Colo
Wins33%67%
By 6+22%50%
By 11+13%33%
By 16+7%20%
By 21+3%11%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Espanol de Talca

Season record
2-22
Points per game
74.9
Points allowed
90.6
Rest
27 d
  1. L69-96Leones Quilpue
  2. L80-103Universidad de Concepcion
  3. L79-104Puente Alto CD
  4. L73-84Puente Alto CD
  5. W80-67Colo Colo

Colo Colo

Season record
7-20
Points per game
76
Points allowed
81
Rest
7 d
  1. L84-86Puerto Montt
  2. L67-74Puerto Montt
  3. L72-85Puente Alto CD
  4. L72-93Universidad de Concepcion
  5. L60-61Leones Quilpue

Head to head

  1. Aug 2, 26Espanol de Talca80Colo Colo67
  2. Jul 12, 26Colo Colo90Espanol de Talca71
  3. Apr 20, 26Colo Colo79Espanol de Talca66
  4. Mar 29, 26Espanol de Talca66Colo Colo74
  5. Oct 26, 25Espanol de Talca78Colo Colo64

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology