San Juan Knights vs Ilagan Isabela Cowboys basketball prediction

MPBL
San Juan Knights
vs
Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
Projected score
89-78
Home90%
Away10%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for San Juan Knights vs Ilagan Isabela Cowboys?

Basketball: San Juan Knights vs Ilagan Isabela Cowboys (MPBL). Projected 89-78. San Juan Knights is favoured at 90%. Our projected total is 167 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: San Juan Knights by 11Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSan Juan KnightsIlagan Isabela Cowboys
Wins90%10%
By 6+76%7%
By 11+61%4%
By 16+45%2%
By 21+32%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

San Juan Knights

Season record
21-5
Points per game
96.2
Points allowed
78.9
Rest
3 d
  1. W145-72Paranaque Patriots
  2. W74-62Mindoro Tamaraws
  3. W78-71Batangas City
  4. L64-71Binan Tatak Gel
  5. W120-77Imus Braderhood

Ilagan Isabela Cowboys

Season record
14-11
Points per game
83.1
Points allowed
83.2
Rest
5 d
  1. L90-98Valenzuela City Darkhorse
  2. L67-94Abra Weavers
  3. L72-77Rizal Golden Coolers
  4. L52-80Cebu Greats
  5. W80-73Meycauayan

Head to head

  1. Jul 26, 25San Juan Knights87Ilagan Isabela Cowboys79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology