Pasay Voyagers vs Mindoro Tamaraws basketball prediction

MPBL
Pasay Voyagers
vs
Mindoro Tamaraws
Projected score
79-79
Home51%
Away49%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Pasay Voyagers vs Mindoro Tamaraws?

Basketball: Pasay Voyagers vs Mindoro Tamaraws (MPBL). Projected 79-79. Pasay Voyagers is favoured at 51%. Our projected total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: levelOur projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPasay VoyagersMindoro Tamaraws
Wins51%49%
By 6+38%36%
By 11+26%25%
By 16+17%16%
By 21+10%9%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Pasay Voyagers

Season record
12-12
Points per game
81.1
Points allowed
76.8
Rest
17 d
  1. L59-67Quezon Huskers
  2. W87-69Marikina Verdiamonds
  3. L61-67Rizal Golden Coolers
  4. W85-67Batangas City
  5. W118-85Negros Hacienderos

Mindoro Tamaraws

Season record
12-12
Points per game
84.1
Points allowed
80.9
Rest
3 d
  1. L61-65Quezon City
  2. L62-74San Juan Knights
  3. W120-74Negros Hacienderos
  4. L69-70Cebu Greats
  5. W71-69Marikina Verdiamonds

Head to head

  1. Jul 31, 25Pasay Voyagers108Mindoro Tamaraws75

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology