Deportivo Campoalto vs San Alfonzo basketball prediction

LNB
Deportivo Campoalto
vs
San Alfonzo
Projected score
81-78
Home58%
Away42%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Deportivo Campoalto vs San Alfonzo?

Basketball: Deportivo Campoalto vs San Alfonzo (LNB). Projected 81-78. Deportivo Campoalto is favoured at 58%. Our projected total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Deportivo Campoalto by 3Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDeportivo CampoaltoSan Alfonzo
Wins58%42%
By 6+48%34%
By 11+39%26%
By 16+30%19%
By 21+22%14%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Deportivo Campoalto

Season record
7-20
Points per game
76.9
Points allowed
85.3
Rest
7 d
  1. L75-113Dep. San Jose
  2. L59-91Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  3. L78-79Felix Perez Cardozo
  4. L74-91Colonias Gold
  5. L57-82Deportivo Amambay

San Alfonzo

Season record
8-17
Points per game
73.6
Points allowed
82.2
Rest
6 d
  1. W126-89Capiata Bulls
  2. L45-90Colonias Gold
  3. L53-96Dep. San Jose
  4. L67-81Deportivo Amambay
  5. L84-102Olimpia Kings Asuncion

Head to head

  1. Aug 13, 26San Alfonzo75Deportivo Campoalto86
  2. Jun 8, 26San Alfonzo63Deportivo Campoalto73
  3. May 11, 26San Alfonzo69Deportivo Campoalto78
  4. Apr 16, 26Deportivo Campoalto102San Alfonzo79
  5. Oct 24, 25San Alfonzo72Deportivo Campoalto67

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology