Binan Tatak Gel vs Pasig City basketball prediction

MPBL
Projected score
89-76
Home92%
Away8%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Binan Tatak Gel vs Pasig City?

Basketball: Binan Tatak Gel vs Pasig City (MPBL). Projected 89-76. Binan Tatak Gel is favoured at 92%. Our projected total is 165 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • Our projection: Binan Tatak Gel by 13Our projected margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBinan Tatak GelPasig City
Wins92%8%
By 6+79%5%
By 11+65%3%
By 16+49%1%
By 21+35%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that projects the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Binan Tatak Gel

Season record
18-6
Points per game
85.5
Points allowed
71.5
Rest
10 d
  1. L61-65Rizal Golden Coolers
  2. W71-64San Juan Knights
  3. W110-86Paranaque Patriots
  4. L53-63Abra Weavers
  5. W102-74Valenzuela City Darkhorse

Pasig City

Season record
12-12
Points per game
86
Points allowed
91
Rest
9 d
  1. W92-80Marikina Verdiamonds
  2. L87-96Batang Kankaloo
  3. W108-99Manila Batang Quiapo
  4. L90-100Negros Hacienderos
  5. L105-110Bulacan Kuyas

Head to head

  1. May 1, 26Pasig City80Binan Tatak Gel70
  2. May 7, 25Binan Tatak Gel79Pasig City72

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology