Batangas City vs Bataan Risers basketball prediction

MPBLFull time
Batangas City
63:65
Bataan Risers
Correct score
83-81
Home55%
Away45%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Batangas City vs Bataan Risers?

Basketball: Batangas City vs Bataan Risers (MPBL). We make it 83-81. Batangas City is favoured at 55%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Batangas City by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBatangas CityBataan Risers
Wins55%45%
By 6+42%33%
By 11+29%22%
By 16+19%14%
By 21+11%8%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Batangas City

Season record
17-5
Points per game
85.7
Points allowed
72.5
Rest
6 d
  1. L71-78San Juan Knights
  2. W88-80Imus Braderhood
  3. W72-62Zamboanga Sikat
  4. L67-85Pasay Voyagers
  5. W76-66Rizal Golden Coolers

Bataan Risers

Season record
11-13
Points per game
91.6
Points allowed
83.6
Rest
8 d
  1. W94-87Zamboanga Sikat
  2. W90-73Sarangani Marlins
  3. L71-74Abra Weavers
  4. W110-97Manila Batang Quiapo
  5. W114-82Negros Hacienderos

Head to head

  1. Mar 31, 25Bataan Risers65Batangas City70

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Final, including overtimeBatangas City 63, Bataan Risers 65winner call wrong

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology